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Frontiers in Oncology

Frontiers Media SA

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Frontiers in Oncology's content profile, based on 95 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.14% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Prevalence and Clinical Significance of Adult-Onset Cancer Predisposition Variants in Pediatric Oncology

Maciaszek, J. L.; Pastor Loyola, V.; Cain, T.; Cardenas, M.; Blackburn, P. R.; Wilkinson, M. R.; Koo, S. C.; Wu, C.-H.; Li, C.; Wang, L.; Nichols, K. E.; Klco, J. M.; Eldomery, M. K.

2026-06-08 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.06.07.26354365 medRxiv
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Purpose: Pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants are increasingly identified in genes more commonly associated with adult-onset cancer predisposition, but their prevalence and relevance to children who present with cancer remain unclear. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 1,280 consecutive pediatric patients with cancer who underwent clinical germline sequencing, using a virtual panel, from 2021 to 2024. Genes with P/LP variants were categorized as aoCPG or pediatric-onset cancer predisposition genes (poCPG) according to cancer risk before age 18 years and pediatric surveillance recommendations. Variant relevance was adjudicated using tumor diagnosis/histopathology, immunohistochemistry, and tumor molecular features and classified as primary, secondary, or indeterminate. Results: Among 1,280 patients, 197 (15.4%) harbored 211 P/LP variants across 54 genes. Sixty-six variants (31.3%) occurred in aoCPG, 87 (41.2%) in poCPG, and 58 (27.5%) were heterozygous variants in autosomal recessive genes. Among adult-onset variants, 7 (10.6%) were primary, 54 (81.8%) secondary, and 5 (7.6%) indeterminate. Among pediatric-onset variants, 77 (88.5%) were primary and 10 (11.5%) secondary. Six patients (3 adult-onset variants; 3 pediatric-onset variants) received targeted therapy informed by germline/somatic sequencing results. Conclusion: In pediatric oncology, most variants in aoCPG are secondary rather than tumor-related findings. Tumor-informed interpretation, beyond variant classification, may improve reporting, counseling, and therapeutic decision-making

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Assessment of the accuracy of lung lesions diagnosis in adolescents with osteosarcoma using artificial intelligence

Uskova, N. G.; Gombolevskiy, V. A.; Chernina, V. Y.; Burenchev, D. V.; Akhaladze, D. G.; Panina, E. V.; Karachunskiy, A. I.; Tereschenko, G. V.; Goncharov, M. Y.; Soboleva, E. A.; Konopleva, E. I.; Bydanov, O. I.; Plekhov, S. Y.; Grachev, N. S.

2026-06-10 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.06.08.26354011 medRxiv
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Background. Lung metastases in osteosarcoma (OS) are the main cause of the death. The accuracy of the diagnosis of nodules by computed tomography (CT) of the lungs is critically important for determining the disseminated stage of the disease and planning surgical treatment. The use of artificial intelligence (AI) in the search for lung nodules increases the accuracy of diagnosis and reduces the chance of missing metastases. Objective: to evaluate the accuracy of lung nodules diagnosis in adolescents with OS using AI. Methods. A retrospective assessment of CT scans of adolescents with OS was performed. A pathological nodule with an average size of [≥]4 mm was considered a target finding. The diagnostic accuracy of an AI algorithm previously trained on an adult dataset was evaluated, and the number of false positives (FP) and false negatives (FN) was determined. Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, area under the ROC curve (AUC), positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and F1-measure were calculated. Based on the obtained results, the effectiveness of the algorithm was assessed. Results. 248 CT scans of adolescents with OS were evaluated. The following results were obtained: in 5 cases, the AI algorithm showed a FP result (2.02%), in 34 cases, it showed a FN result (13.71%), and in 209 cases, a correct result (both true positive and true negative) (84.27%). The diagnostic accuracy of the algorithm was 0.843 (95% CI 0.794-0.887). The application of the AI algorithm in the practice of an X-ray doctor in a specific clinical task would allow to increase the sensitivity from 0.805 to 0.891, while ensuring an absolute decrease in the number of FN results by 8.59% and a relative decrease by 44%. Conclusion. The obtained results confirm the practical value of the application of the AI algorithm and justify the implementation of AI-assisted systems in the diagnostic protocols for lung metastases in adolescents with OS.

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Integrated T-Cell Receptor Repertoire and Tumor Immunogenicity Profiling Reveals Distinct Immunogenomic States in Endometrial Cancer

Aversa, I.; Abatino, A.; Isabello, A.; Gallo, R.; Isdraele, L.; Straface, T.; Zullo, F. M.; Guida, M.; Saccone, G.; Fiume, G.; Venturella, R.; Viglietto, G.; Cuda, G.; Costanzo, F.; Zullo, F.; Palmieri, C.

2026-06-10 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355191 medRxiv
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Background Endometrial cancer exhibits marked molecular and immune heterogeneity that is only partially explained by established genomic biomarkers. We investigated whether T cell receptor (TCR) repertoire architecture captures complementary dimensions of antitumor immunity beyond conventional molecular classification. Methods Paired tumor and peripheral blood samples from eight patients with molecularly characterized endometrial cancer underwent TCR repertoire profiling. Diversity, clonality, and tumor blood overlap metrics were integrated with genomic variables, including tumor mutational burden (TMB), genomic instability metric (GIM), and POLE status. Principal component analysis and correlation analyses were used to identify major dimensions of repertoire organization. Composite Immune Focusing and Immune Sharing Scores were derived to summarize dominant repertoire patterns. Results The first two principal components explained 70.1% of total repertoire variance and revealed substantial heterogeneity independent of histological subtype. TMB was strongly associated with reduced repertoire diversity and increased clonal dominance, resulting in a robust association with the Immune Focusing Score ({rho} = 0.88, p = 0.004). POLE mutated tumors occupied the extreme end of this focusing continuum. In contrast, genomic instability was associated with increased tumor blood repertoire overlap and preserved diversity, reflected by a strong correlation between GIM and the Immune Sharing Score ({rho} = 0.76, p = 0.027). The two immune scores showed minimal correlation with each other ({rho} = -0.24, p = 0.57), indicating that they capture largely independent aspects of immune organization. Conclusion Integrative analysis of TCR repertoire architecture and tumor genomics identifies distinct immunogenomic states in endometrial cancer that are not fully captured by conventional molecular classification. If validated in larger cohorts, immune focusing and immune sharing metrics may provide complementary biomarkers for patient stratification and immunotherapy-oriented precision oncology

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Precision Imaging to Evaluate Kaposi Sarcoma (PRIME-KS): protocol for a multicountry novel artificial intelligence-based imaging device

Odeny, T. A.; Adhiambo, H. F.; Mangale, D.; Makanga, P. K.; Odeny, B.; Okuku, F.; Zhou, C.; Geng, E.; Carson, J.; Mudhune, V.; Bukusi, E.; Semeere, A.

2026-06-04 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354815 medRxiv
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Abstract Background: Kaposi sarcoma (KS) is the most common cancer among men in several Eastern African countries, yet treatment monitoring relies on imprecise, time-consuming ruler-based measurements defined by the AIDS Clinical Trial Group (ACTG). This method suffers from inter-observer variability, fails to capture lesion height or true geometric area, and performs poorly on dark skin. SkinScan3D (SS3D) is a portable, low-cost, AI-enabled 3D imaging device that provides objective measurements of KS skin lesion area, height, volume, and color. The Precision Imaging to Evaluate Kaposi Sarcoma (PRIME-KS) study evaluates whether SS3D provides more reproducible and accurate lesion measurements than the standard method, and validates its integration into routine clinical workflows in Kenya and Uganda. Methods: PRIME-KS is a multicountry prospective mixed-methods study with two clinical objectives. Objective 1 is a cross-sectional diagnostic accuracy study comparing SS3D with ruler-based measurement in 50 adults with KS (150 lesions) across sites in Kenya and Uganda. Two clinicians independently measure three lesions per participant using both methods. The primary outcomes are concordance correlation coefficient (CCC) for inter-rater reproducibility, and co-efficient of determination for accuracy. Objective 2 is a non-randomized before-and-after pilot study in 100 patients at three sites, evaluating device usability, acceptability, appropriateness, and feasibility using validated instruments, along with time-and-motion studies and activity-based micro-costing. Prior to these clinical objectives, a formative study used focus group discussions, discrete choice experiments, and human-centered design workshops to refine the SS3D device and protocols with end-user input. Discussion: PRIME-KS will provide the first rigorous evaluation of a 3D imaging device for monitoring KS treatment response in routine clinical settings. If SS3D demonstrates superior reproducibility and clinical utility, it could reduce unnecessary chemotherapy exposure and associated toxicities by enabling earlier, more objective assessment of treatment response. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT06898203, registered 27 March 2025. Pan African Clinical Trials Registry PACTR202603523439856. Keywords Kaposi sarcoma, SkinScan3D, 3D imaging, treatment monitoring, diagnostic accuracy, implementation science, usability, human-centered design, Kenya, Uganda

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Real-time Computer Vision Assisted Navigation for Endoscopic Pituitary Surgery: Iterative Development and Comparative Preclinical Evaluation

Khan, D. Z.; Mao, Z.; Hudson, G.; Wijekoon, A.; Chen, J.-e.; Borg, A.; Dorward, N.; Blandford, A.; Clarkson, M.; McCulloch, P.; Bano, S.; Stoyanov, D.; Marcus, H.

2026-06-04 surgery 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354760 medRxiv
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Background Endoscopic pituitary surgery involves navigating high-stakes anatomy where complications, such as carotid artery injury, cause devastating morbidity. While computer vision AI offers potential for real-time anatomical recognition to mitigate these risks, successful translation requires rigorous human-factors and performance evaluation. We present the iterative development and preclinical evaluation of a surgeon-controlled, real-time AI-assisted navigation system. Methods Guided by IDEAL Stage 0 and DECIDE-AI frameworks, the study was conducted in two phases. Phase 1 was an exploratory study where surgeons used the system during high-fidelity simulated surgery and provided feedback via "Think Aloud" protocols and surveys. Following prototype iteration, a Phase 2 randomized crossover comparative trial was conducted with 19 neurosurgeons (15 trainees, 4 experts) performing high-fidelity simulated tumour resections with and without AI assistance, separated by a minimum 2-week washout. The primary outcome was surgical technical performance (OSATS). Workload, educational value, usability, trust, and implementation outcomes were also assessed. Results Phase 1 informed hardware, model, and interface refinements, including optimized pedal-controlled overlays and prediction confidence metrics. In the comparative trial, AI assistance significantly improved overall technical performance (OSATS 19.79+/-4.06 vs. 17.32+/-4.11; p=0.027). This gain was experience-dependent; AI significantly augmented trainee performance (19.20+/-3.76 vs. 16.60+/-3.78), narrowing the proficiency gap, while expert performance remained high and stable. 100% of participants identified the system as a useful training tool. However, subjective workload was significantly higher in the AI arm (SURG-TLX 26.42+/-9.56 vs. 22.26+/-7.81; p=0.014). Despite this, usability (SUS 75.13+/-14.31) and implementation feasibility, acceptability, and appropriateness scores were consistently high (means >4.4/5). Conclusions This study provides a stepwise process for real-time AI development using pituitary surgery as a high-stakes exemplar. The refined surgeon-centric AI system improves training and technical performance, particularly for trainees. Next steps involve first-in-human studies and further exploration of longer-term human factors such as over-reliance, cognitive overload mitigation and trust calibration.

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Immunohistochemical phenotype is associated with metastatic site in breast cancer: a retrospective pathomorphological study of women from the Lower Aral Sea region, Uzbekistan

Khodjaniyazov, A. A.; Rojobov, R. R.

2026-06-08 pathology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354969 medRxiv
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Background: Breast cancer is the most frequently diagnosed cancer and the leading cause of cancer death in women worldwide, and the great majority of these deaths are caused by metastatic disease. Whether the immunohistochemical (IHC) phenotype of breast cancer is associated with the anatomical site of metastasis has been characterized mainly in high-income, registry-based populations, while data from ecologically stressed and medically under-served regions such as the Lower Aral Sea basin are lacking. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 652 women diagnosed with breast cancer at the Khorezm Branch of the Republican Specialized Scientific-Practical Medical Center of Oncology and Radiology (Uzbekistan) between 2020 and 2024, of whom 213 had metastatic disease (306 metastatic foci). Histological type was assessed on hematoxylin-eosin and van Gieson-stained sections; quantitative morphometry was performed in Fiji/ImageJ; and HER2, estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR) and Ki-67 were assessed by IHC. The association between marker expression and metastatic site (liver, lung, lymph node) was tested in 187 foci with adequate tissue using the chi-square test, with significance at p < 0.05. Results: Invasive ductal carcinoma predominated. Metastatic site was significantly associated with the IHC phenotype. Liver metastases showed the highest frequency of HER2 3+ (45.7%), ER-negativity (65.2%), PR-negativity (69.6%) and high proliferation (Ki-67 [&ge;] 60%; 47.8%), whereas lymph-node metastases were more often hormone-receptor-positive (ER+ 58.7%; PR+ 52.4%) with lower HER2 3+ (22.2%); lung metastases were intermediate (all p < 0.05). The combination of HER2 3+ and Ki-67 [&ge;] 60% was associated with multi-organ spread. Morphometry corroborated these patterns: liver lesions had larger atypical cells (up to 132.8 m), a higher nuclear-to-cytoplasmic ratio (0.76 vs 0.51) and more extensive necrosis and microvascularity than lymph-node lesions. A pragmatic 5-criterion morphological score (histological type, Ki-67, HER2, ER/PR status, atypical-cell size) stratified metastatic risk into three tiers. Conclusions: In this regional cohort, the IHC phenotype of breast cancer tracked the anatomical site of metastasis, with an aggressive HER2-driven, hormone-receptor-negative profile concentrated in liver metastases and a hormone-receptor-positive profile in lymph-node metastases. These findings reproduce established organotropism patterns in a previously uncharacterized population and support phenotype-aware, site-specific surveillance together with a low-cost morphological risk score for resource-limited settings.

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Lung cancer pathway inequalities for adults with severe mental health conditions: A mixed-methods analysis of barriers to screening and care pathways in South East London

Tredget, G.; Milenova, M.; Parkash, R.; McGrath, R.; Edwards, M. J.; Gee, S.; Pigg, W.; Karwacki, D.; Costa, C.; Shafique, S.; Adams, M.; Waghorn, J.; I'Anson, D.; Ronaldson, A.; Haire, K.; Githuku, C.; Beveridge, E.; Williams, J.

2026-06-09 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355143 medRxiv
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Background: Adults with severe mental health conditions (often referred to as severe mental illness, SMI) experience 15 to 20 year mortality gap relative to the general population, with lung cancer a significant contributor. National cancer policy targets earlier diagnosis but does not explicitly address how pathways function for this group. Aims: This study aimed to describe lung cancer risk, prevalence, screening eligibility, referral activity and diagnostic pathway performance for adults with SMI in South East London (SEL), and to examine where along the pathway inequalities arise. Methods: Co-designed with experts with lived experience and voluntary sector, this exploratory mixed-methods service evaluation combined quantitative analysis of routinely collected data from the Quality Outcomes Framework (QOF), SMI Register and Cancer Waiting Times Record (April 2023-March 2024) with semi-structured qualitative interviews (n=11 clinical staff) and focus groups (n=6 adults with lived experience of SMI). Quantitative and qualitative data were analysed using descriptive statistics and framework-based thematic analysis respectively, and findings were integrated using a joint display approach, organised by the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR). Results: Lung cancer prevalence was approximately double among adults with SMI (0.17% vs 0.09% in the general population). Despite Urgent Suspected Cancer (USC) referral rates being more than twice as high in the SMI population (63 vs 28 per 100,000), fewer cancers were detected via planned general practice (GP) routes (11% vs 20%), the 28-day Faster Diagnosis Standard was not met for any SMI patient diagnosed with lung cancer during the study period; overall FDS performance was 76% in the SMI population compared with 84% in the general population; and appointment non-attendance was more than double that in the general population (6% vs 3%). Qualitative findings identified individual, service and system-level mechanisms, including stigma, diagnostic overshadowing, fragmented coordination, and rigid pathway protocols, that compound disadvantage across lung cancer pathway stages. Conclusions: Inequality in lung cancer outcomes for adults with SMI accumulates across the pathway rather than arising at a single point of failure. Addressing this requires proportionate adaptations within existing cancer pathways, alongside routine reporting of cancer outcomes stratified by SMI population. Keywords: severe mental health conditions, lung cancer, health inequalities, cancer screening, diagnostic pathway, mixed methods

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Global practices in paediatric olfactory dysfunction: a cross-sectional survey of paediatric ENT surgeons

Spencer, G. M.; Karim, K.; Dzioba, A.; Graham, M. E.; You, P.; Hummel, T.; Gellrich, J.; Coyle, P.; Burns, H.; Peer, S.; Zawawi, F.; Lechien, J. R.; Schriever, V. A.; Bhargava, E. K.; Whitcroft, K. L.

2026-06-06 otolaryngology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354942 medRxiv
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Background: Olfactory dysfunction (OD) in children remains underdiagnosed and poorly characterised. Despite its known impacts on nutrition, quality of life, safety awareness, and psychosocial development, no standardised diagnostic or management pathway currently exists for paediatric OD. This study aimed to characterise global practice patterns and identify diagnostic and therapeutic challenges unique to paediatric care. Methodology/Principal: A 44-item cross-sectional online survey was distributed to a verified international network of paediatric otolaryngologists across 36 countries via a closed professional platform. The survey assessed five domains: diagnostic practices, management protocols, technology and innovation, education and training, and barriers to effective care. Regional grouping was used to facilitate meaningful statistical comparisons. Categorical variables were evaluated using chi-square tests, with odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals reported for significant findings. Results: Of 351 potential participants, 167 responded (47.6% response rate). Most respondents (83%) reported seeing children with OD, yet 95% saw fewer than ten such patients annually. Psychophysical testing was never performed by 54.8% of respondents, while 88.4% routinely ordered cross-sectional imaging. Testing frequency increased significantly with patient age (Cochran's Q p<0.001). The most common barriers to objective testing were insufficient training (44.3%), time constraints (29.9%), and funding limitations (28.1%). Multidisciplinary collaboration was negligible. Significant regional variation was observed across most practice domains. Conclusions: Paediatric OD care is characterised by functional underinvestigation, fragmented multidisciplinary collaboration, and systemic educational gaps. These findings support urgent development of standardised clinical guidelines, age-appropriate validated assessment tools, and formal interdisciplinary care pathways.

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Quantifying Cancer Clinical Trial Eligibility Using Artificial Intelligence-Based Matching

Goel, K. P.; Myall, N. J.; Dickerson, J.; Caswell-Jin, J. L.; Johnson, T.; Worth, J. E.; Gensheimer, M. F.

2026-06-05 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354859 medRxiv
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PURPOSE: To develop and validate an artificial intelligence-enabled platform that converts unstructured cancer trial eligibility criteria into structured queries and quantifies trial eligibility across advanced/metastatic cancer trials. METHODS: We downloaded actively recruiting US interventional treatment trials for advanced/metastatic breast cancer, colon cancer, and non-small cell lung cancer from ClinicalTrials.gov. Medical oncologists created 24 synthetic patient vignettes. A large language model converted trial eligibility criteria into Structured Query Language (SQL) code and patient information into structured records, enabling automated matching. Cancer details and treatment history were considered, but not laboratory results or comorbidities. Validation included physician editing of generated eligibility code for 30 trials, and blinded physician eligibility assessment for five trials. We then evaluated how age, ECOG performance status, sex, and ZIP code affected the number of eligible trials. RESULTS: Of 833 candidate trials, 746 met inclusion criteria. In physician review of 30 trials, edits to generated SQL did not change any of 720 trial-patient eligibility determinations for 24 synthetic patients. In blinded validation across 120 trial-patient pairs, automated matching achieved 97% accuracy. Across synthetic patients, eligible trials ranged from 31 to 258 when there were no geographic restrictions. Eligibility decreased markedly with worse performance status and with geographic restriction (both p<0.001). Later-phase, randomized, and molecularly selective trials had fewer eligible patients. CONCLUSION: AI-based structuring of trial eligibility criteria can support accurate, scalable measurement of potential cancer trial eligibility. In this demonstration, performance status, geography, and age were major determinants of eligibility across the active metastatic trial landscape.

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Understanding Human AI Discrepancy in Breast Cancer TIL Assessment: A Multi-Rater and Perceptual Bias Study

Capar, A.; Aloglu, I.; Aker, F.; Ertano, M.; Mese, Y. E.; Ungor, A.; Yildiz, B. E.

2026-06-04 pathology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354196 medRxiv
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Objective: Tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) in breast cancer are one of the most important indicators of the immune response within the tumor microenvironment. They play a particularly significant prognostic and predictive role in triple-negative and HER2-positive subtypes. However, substantial inter-observer variability has been reported in TIL scoring among pathologists, which limits its reliability in clinical practice. The aim of this study was to evaluate the agreement between artificial intelligence (AI) models and pathologists in TIL scoring and to compare this agreement using different statistical approaches, thereby assessing the potential of AI integration into pathology practice. Materials and Methods: Digitized histopathological images of breast cancer cases were included in the study. Tumor regions annotated by pathologists were evaluated for both stromal TIL percentage and the proportion of stromal tumor area within each ROI, with assessments performed independently by three pathologists and two AI models. Agreement was assessed among pathologists, between pathologists and AI, and between AI models. Statistical analyses included intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), Cohen and Fleiss kappa, correlation tests, and Bland-Altman analysis. In addition, categorical agreement was examined using different cut-off values. Results: Inter-pathologist agreement was high, with an ICC of 0.81. In contrast, the global agreement between pathologists and AI models was lower (ICC 0.41). Pairwise comparisons of pathologist-AI agreement yielded substantially lower ICC values (0.12-0.21), although this improved to 0.53 when three pathologists were assessed jointly with a single AI model. The strongest categorical agreement was observed with dichotomized TIL scores ([&le;]10% vs. >10%), whereas multi-category classifications were associated with a marked reduction in kappa values. Spearman correlation coefficients between pathologists and AI models ranged from moderate to good ({rho} = 0.48-0.81). Agreement between the two AI models themselves was moderate, with an ICC of 0.64

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Formalising Limits of Circulating Tumour DNA Detection: A Signal Detection Framework for Clinical Threshold Specification

Walinjkar, A.

2026-06-10 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355204 medRxiv
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Background: Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) liquid biopsy is now established across oncology for early cancer detection, minimal residual disease surveillance, and treatment monitoring. Detection thresholds for all current ctDNA assays are derived empirically through receiver operating characteristic analysis on training cohorts - a statistically valid but theoretically uninformed approach that does not specify the minimum detectable tumour fraction given assay technical characteristics, nor identify when increasing sequencing depth ceases to provide additional clinical information. Methods: We model ctDNA detection as a binary hypothesis testing problem with Binomial-distributed mutant allele counts against a sequencing error noise floor. The Neyman-Pearson lemma is applied to derive the uniformly most powerful detector and the minimum detectable tumour fraction in closed form. The sequencing assay is modelled as a binary symmetric channel and Shannon channel capacity is calculated. Empirical validation uses n=61 data points extracted from five published peer-reviewed analytical validation studies across five independent institutions in the US and EU (2018 - 2025): Yu et al. 2022, Stetson et al. 2018, Frydendahl et al. 2023, Northcott et al. 2024, and Cheng et al. 2025. Results: The minimum detectable tumour fraction is derived in closed form as f_min approximately equal to (z_alpha + z_beta) multiplied by the square root of (epsilon divided by N), where N is sequencing depth, epsilon is the platform error rate, and z_alpha, z_beta are standard normal quantiles at the specified false positive and false negative rates. Shannon channel capacity is C = 1 minus H(epsilon) bits per read, where H(epsilon) is binary entropy. Empirical validation yields 84.3% agreement for single-locus assays. Discordance for multi-locus tumour-informed assays (NeXT Personal, duplex WGS) is consistent with the single-locus model scope and identifies the principal theoretical extension required. Conclusions: This framework provides the first formal Neyman-Pearson optimality proof for ctDNA detection, a closed-form detection limit, and a platform-independent efficiency metric for NHS and regulatory standardisation. Keywords: circulating tumour DNA; liquid biopsy; Neyman-Pearson detection; Shannon channel capacity; sequencing depth; limit of detection; minimal residual disease; signal detection theory

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Prevalence of pfkelch13 Mutations and Clinical Indicators of Artemisinin Partial Resistance in Africa: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Observational Cohorts

Munyangi wa Nkola, J.; Akilimali Zalagile, P.; Lukuke Mbutshu, H.; Kabala Munyemo, S.; Ramazani Bin Eradi, I.; CAMARA, A.

2026-06-10 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354685 medRxiv
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Background: Artemisinin-based combination therapies remain the mainstay of malaria control strategies; nevertheless, the advent of genetic markers linked to partial artemisinin resistance in Plasmodium falciparum has elicited substantial concern across African settings. To assess the prevalence, geographic distribution, and clinical associations of these molecular markers, we undertook a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational cohort studies.Methods: We conducted a search of cohort studies published between January 2015 and June 2025, following PRISMA 2020 guidelines. We queried databases including PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus, Web of Science, and CINAHL. Eligibility required prospective enrollment of patients, longitudinal monitoring (therapeutic efficacy studies), and pfkelch13 propeller domain genotyping.Results: A meta-analytical synthesis of 888 isolates from six core prospective cohorts revealed a pooled prevalence of 6% (95% CI: 2.1%-11.8%) for validated pfkelch13 mutations. A profound geographic dichotomy was identified: while West and Central African cohorts maintained a 0% prevalence, East African hotspots showed significant expansion, with prevalence reaching 12.8% in Rwanda and up to 25.5% in Northern Uganda; high statistical heterogeneity (, ) reflects this biological divergence. Conclusions: These findings highlight the established and expanding presence of artemisinin partial resistance in East Africa. Standardized surveillance is essential to adapt malaria control policies across the continent. Keywords: Africa; artemisinin resistance; clinical indicators; pfkelch13 gene; molecular markers; partial resistance; Plasmodium falciparum.

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Burden of Chronic Kidney Disease in China, 1990-2021: Findings from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study

Wang, M.; Zhao, T.; Wang, H.; Hou, S.; Fu, Y.

2026-06-09 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355056 medRxiv
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Introduction: To investigate the epidemiological characteristics of chronic kidney diseases (CKD) in China in 2021 and its trends between 1990 and 2021, in the context of significant population growth and lifestyle changes over the past 30 years that have likely influenced the CKD spectrum. Methods: Data on CKD prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALY), and risk factors were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The estimated decadal percentage changes were calculated to evaluate changes in trends in prevalence, mortality and disease burden. Results: In 2021, an estimated 118.4 (95% UI 109.4 to 127.5) million people in China were affected by CKD, contributing to 204 230 (95% UI 164 736 to 246 372) deaths and 6.13 (95% UI 5.18 to 7.21) million DALY. Although CKD due to diabetes mellitus and hypertension accounted for less than a quarter of all cases, they were responsible for over 90% of CKD-related deaths. Over the past three decades, CKD mortality and DALY rates have steadily increased, although the prevalence has stabilized in the last decade. Diabetes mellitus type 2 and hypertension have emerged as key drivers of CKD burden in China. Conclusions: The CKD burden in China shows a dual pattern of rising incidence and high mortality from diabetes and hypertension-related chronic kidney disease, alongside persistently high years lived with disability from glomerulonephritis and other causes.

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Improving Motivation in Post-stroke Apathy with Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation (IMPART): A Phase-I Pilot Trial

Seidman, M.; Grewal, P.; Bowyer, C.; Dickens, I.; Eade, J.; Collins, E.; Patel, C. Y.; Arias Velasquez, D. E.; George, M. S.; Antonucci, M. U.; Caulfied, K. A.; McTeague, L. M.

2026-06-05 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354398 medRxiv
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Background: Post-stroke apathy (PSA) is a common, disabling syndrome with few evidence-based treatment options. We evaluated the safety, feasibility, acceptability, and evidence of effects of a three-day accelerated intermittent theta burst stimulation-repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (iTBS-rTMS) protocol targeting the left dorsomedial prefrontal cortex (dmPFC) in chronic stroke survivors with apathy. Methods: Stroke survivors with symptomatic apathy received open-label iTBS-rTMS at the left dmPFC (21,600 pulses across 36 sessions; 3 treatment days; 12 sessions/day within one week). Safety endpoints included adverse events, neuroradiological findings, and objective cognitive performance. Secondary outcomes included measures of apathy and other neuropsychiatric symptoms as well as psychosocial functioning, including quality of life and caregiver burden. Participants were followed up for one month. Results: Fourteen participants (mean age = 61.8 {+/-} 14.0 years; mean time since stroke = 55.6 {+/-} 31.6 months) completed the iTBS-rTMS treatment course. No serious adverse events occurred. Participants rated the treatment as highly acceptable, and cognitive performance was stable from pre- to post-rTMS with no treatment-related changes on structural MRI. Regarding apathy, participants had significant improvements with moderate to large effect sizes on the Lille Apathy Rating Scale (LARS), on both self (d = 0.78) and caregiver-rated versions (d = 1.28), p<0.05 pretreatment-to-one-month follow-up. In addition, secondary measures of psychosocial function also showed improvement with moderate to large effect sizes (Stroke Specific Quality of Life Scale: d = 0.62; Zarit Burden Interview: d = 0.72), and the Brief Inventory of Psychosocial Function: d = 0.89). Conclusions: In chronic stroke survivors with PSA, accelerated iTBS-rTMS targeting the left dmPFC appears to be safe, feasible, tolerable, and highly acceptable, with preliminary evidence suggesting a potential role in reducing apathy and secondarily promoting improvements in quality of life, caregiver burden, and broader psychosocial function.

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Dementia and Frailty Impact Postoperative Care Trajectories and Burden among Older Adults Undergoing Radical Cystectomy for Bladder Cancer

Ernandez, J.; Xiang, L.; Adler, R.; Hsu, J.; Shah, S. K.; Kim, D.; Gershman, B.; Mossanen, M.; Weissman, J. S.

2026-06-06 urology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354768 medRxiv
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OBJECTIVE: Bladder cancer (BC) is predominantly a disease of older, comorbid adults, and radical cystectomy (RC), which is the gold standard treatment, carries considerable morbidity. We sought to determine the impact of baseline dementia and frailty on the care trajectory beyond the immediate postoperative period. We hypothesized that frail patients and those with dementia undergoing RC for BC will have poorer care trajectories. METHODS AND MATERIALS: We identified Medicare beneficiaries [&ge;] 66 years old who underwent RC for BC in 2017 with 12 months of pre- and post-RC enrollment. Frailty and dementia were characterized using validated, claims-based measures. Associations between baseline frailty and dementia with postoperative care trajectory outcomes were determined using Fine-Gray competing risk models. RESULTS: We identified 3,600 beneficiaries of whom 11.6% were frail and 3.4% met criteria for dementia. Patients with dementia were more likely to be frail, comorbid, and not receive standard-of-care neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Frailty was independently associated with [&ge;] 2 transitions in care level after index discharge from RC and skilled nursing facility (SNF) admissions within 1 year of RC, exposure to intensive post-RC interventions, including dialysis and feeding tube placement, and poorer survival. Dementia remained associated with SNF admissions regardless of frailty level. CONCLUSIONS: Among a contemporary cohort of older adults undergoing RC for BC, preoperative dementia and frailty were independently associated with poorer care trajectory beyond the immediate postoperative period after RC. Our work highlights a role for preoperative geriatric assessment in identifying and optimizing patients at greatest risk.

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More Than Results: A Qualitative Study on the Role of Person-Centered Genetic Counseling in Parkinson Disease Research

Verbrugge, J.; Fiallos, K.; Cook, L.; Miller, M.; Head, K. J.

2026-06-09 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354465 medRxiv
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As genetic testing becomes increasingly integrated into Parkinson disease (PD) research, including targeted testing for variants in LRRK2 and GBA1, the return of individual research results is becoming more common. However, limited qualitative data exists regarding how research participants experience genetic results disclosure and post-test genetic counseling in PD research settings. We conducted semi-structured qualitative interviews with participants (n=13) enrolled in the Parkinson Precision Medicine Initiative (formerly Parkinson Progression Markers Initiative; PPMI) who had received PD-related genetic test results and post-test genetic counseling. Interviews were conducted 1 to 3 weeks following result disclosure and analyzed using thematic analysis with a primarily deductive coding approach informed by study aims and inductive identification of emergent themes. Four primary themes were identified: (1) personal connection and motivations for participation, (2) centrality of result disclosure and information preferences, (3) emotional experiences and support needs, and (4) communication quality and alignment with participant needs. Overall, our findings underscore the importance of person-centered genetic counseling within PD research. As return of genetic and biomarker results in research and clinical trial contexts expand, thoughtful integration of relational, informational, and communication-focused practices will be essential to support participant engagement and trust.

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Bias from small-count suppression in county-level cancer disparity estimates: a calibrated simulation study

gahan, k.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26355021 medRxiv
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Abstract Background. Area-level cancer disparities are routinely estimated from public county data in which rates based on small counts (fewer than 16 cases or deaths) are suppressed. Analysts typically drop suppressed counties (complete-case analysis). Because suppression depends on case counts tied to population size and demographic composition, this missingness may be informative, but its effect on the disparity estimate has not, to our knowledge, been quantified. Methods. In a cross-sectional ecological study of 3,143 U.S. counties (analytic sample 3,018 with computable exposure) using one frozen public release of NCI State Cancer Profiles incidence and mortality data and ACS 2018-2022 5-year data, we estimated the most- versus least-deprived ICE(race+income) quintile rate ratio (RR) and rate difference for female breast, stomach, and cervix cancers under four suppression-handling methods: complete-case, available-case, bounding, and model-based small-area estimation. We characterized which counties were erased, and, following the ADEMP framework, ran a Monte Carlo simulation (1,000 replicates per cell; Monte Carlo standard error of bias approximately 0.0025) calibrated to the release to measure bias against a known truth. Analyses were pre-registered. Results. The suppressed fraction rose with rarity: 7.4% of counties for breast, 61.3% for stomach, and 75.7% for cervix incidence. Suppression was concentrated in the most-deprived quintile (cervix, 81.8% suppressed vs 63.8% least-deprived) and overwhelmingly removed rural rather than minority residents (cervix: 81% of the rural but 9% of the minority population erased). For breast (little suppression) the RR was 0.87 (95% CI 0.85-0.89) and identical across methods; for cervix incidence the complete-case RR (1.56) exceeded the model-based estimate (1.50), and for cervix mortality (91% suppressed) complete-case (1.86) exceeded model-based (1.56) by 16% with a wide bounding interval (1.88-2.62). In calibrated simulation, population-weighted complete-case bias was small (less than 2%) at the observed deprivation-county-size correlation and grew with rarity, threshold, and unweighted aggregation; its direction was conditional, becoming positive (over-estimation) as deprived counties became smaller. Conclusions. Complete-case handling of suppressed counties over-estimates rare-cancer area disparities relative to methods that retain them, while silently erasing most of the rural and most-deprived communities the estimate is meant to represent. The effect is negligible for common cancers and grows with rarity. Public-data disparity analyses should report the suppressed fraction and use bounded or model-based estimates by default. Keywords: cancer disparities; small-count suppression; Index of Concentration at the Extremes; informative missingness; small-area estimation; rural health.

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General-purpose large language models can achieve physician-level accuracy in complex medical data extraction

Rajeev, M.; Narayan, A.

2026-06-10 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.06.06.26354838 medRxiv
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Background: Unstructured data represent about 80% of total electronic health records (EHR) data. Structuring this free text is essential for advancing clinical research, including cohort selection for trials, retrospective studies, and the development of disease registries. While manual chart review (MCR) remains the gold standard for extracting this clinical data, the process is inherently slow, resource-intensive, and susceptible to errors from human fatigue. We evaluated the extraction accuracy, safety, and efficiency of the HeLIX (Hepatology Logic-Integrated Extraction) framework, a Large Language Model (LLM) protocol using Google Gemini 3 Pro, compared to a gold-standard Manual Chart Review (MCR). Methods: A prospective validation study was conducted using 50 high-complexity, simulated hepatology discharge summaries designed to replicate the real-world heterogeneity of EHRs. The HeLIX framework employed a Zero-Shot, Structured Chain-of-Thought (CoT) prompting strategy enforced by a three-layer architecture: Clinical Reasoning Trace, Schema Enforcement, and Evidence Verification. The model extracted 45 distinct clinical variables. Performance was benchmarked against a consensus MCR. Results: Across 2,250 evaluated data points, the model achieved an overall Extraction Accuracy of 99.24% (95% CI: 98.8%-99.5%), with perfect concordance in 35/45 (77.8%) variables. For binary diagnostic variables, the model demonstrated an overall F1-score of 0.98, Recall of 0.99 and substantial inter-rater reliability (Cohens {kappa} = 0.97). Hallucinations were exceptionally rare (2/2250; 0.08%). Critical errors affecting clinical management occurred in only 2 instances (<0.1% of total data), both involving etiological misattribution in complex multifactorial diagnoses. The AI workflow was 13.4-fold faster and 95.1% more cost-effective than manual extraction. Conclusion: The HeLIX framework demonstrates physician-level accuracy and reliability in extracting complex hepatology data. It offers a scalable, efficient, and economical alternative to manual chart review. Such frameworks could accelerate clinical research, enabling healthcare systems globally to build comprehensive patient registries for a fraction of the traditional cost.

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Calibrating trust in AI-assisted pituitary surgery

Hudson, G. R.; Khan, D. Z.; Fayez, F.; Bhatia, S.; Bano, S.; Costanza, E.; Blandford, A.; Stoyanov, D.; McCulloch, P.; Marcus, H. J.; University College London Collaborators,

2026-06-04 surgery 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354735 medRxiv
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Background: Endoscopic endonasal transsphenoidal surgery (EETS) requires navigation around neurocritical anatomy. Today, artificial intelligence clinical decision support systems (AI-CDSSs) can orientate surgeons, but clinician trust in AI remains unclear, limiting safe deployment. This study evaluates how modifiable design affects trust and performance in a real-world pituitary surgery AI-CDSS. Method: Online, 70 clinicians with pituitary surgery experience were randomised evenly to a Basic or Enhanced AI-CDSS which outline the sella on EETS operative video. The Enhanced group additionally received explanation of the model and previous publications, alongside confidence labels depicting outline reliability. Both groups annotated the sella on six video clips, first alone then with the optional AI-CDSS. Clips were ordered by declining AI performance, except for the final clip. Self-reported trust was measured using a 1-7 scale after each annotation, and performance was the DICE overlap between user annotations and the ground truth. Comparisons used Mann-Whitney U and permutation analysis. Results: Sixty-four participants (91%) finished the exercise (31 Basic, 33 Enhanced). When AI performed best, median trust was 5.00 in both arms (U=559, p=.521). However, when AI performed worst, trust was significantly lower for the Enhanced group (3.00 vs 3.67, U=668, p=.035), sustained in the final clip (3.67 vs 4.33 U=687, p=.019). User performance improved with the AI-CDSS, but with no significant difference between the groups on the best or worst AI performing clips. Nevertheless, for the best AI, senior clinicians had higher median performance in the Enhanced group (0.95 vs 0.90, U=75, p=.066). There was also less dispersion in the Enhanced group when AI was inaccurate (IQR: 0.07 vs 0.21, p=.004). Conclusion: Interface design can improve trust calibration in a surgical AI-CDSS and may increment performance in seniors when AI is accurate, and consistency when AI is inaccurate. In future, these features may form important safety checks during translation to the operating room.

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Structured Patterns of Muscle Involvement in CAV3-Related Myopathy Revealed by Whole-Body CT Imaging

De Los Reyes, F. V. A.; Hayashi, S.; Saito, Y.; Ogawa, M.; Oya, Y.; Noguchi, S.; Nishino, I.

2026-06-04 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354504 medRxiv
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Caveolinopathies caused by CAV3 mutations present with heterogeneous clinical phenotypes ranging from asymptomatic hyperCKemia to limb-girdle-type muscular dystrophy. Although prior imaging studies have described commonly affected muscles, structured modeling of muscle involvement patterns in caveolinopathy has not been established. We analyzed whole-body skeletal muscle computed tomography imaging in eight patients with pathogenic or likely pathogenic CAV3 variants, comprising 14 imaging study samples. Fat infiltration across 43 muscles was graded using modified Mercuri scores. Computational multivariate analysis,including principal component analysis, clustering, and pseudotime modeling,was applied to characterize severity staging and distribution patterns. A statistically supported, stage-dependent continuum of muscle involvement was identified. Most samples demonstrated a distributed limb-girdle-predominant pattern with coordinated progression across muscle clusters. In contrast, one patient (three samples in longitudinal series) exhibited a compartment-restricted thigh-dominant pattern characterized by early posterior and medial thigh involvement. Rectus femoris showed consistent stage-dependent progression, while greater medial gastrocnemius involvement was associated with advanced severity. None of the patients exhibited clinical evidence of rippling muscle disease. These findings suggest that integrating semi-quantitative imaging with computational modeling may provide an objective framework for characterizing muscle involvement patterns in CAV3-related myopathy.